Thursday, 7 April 2011

Libya, making of another Iraq or Afghanistan, but with a difference

By someone who monitored US-led Afghan war

If someone wants to understand the real intentions of western powers in Libyan game, he or she will have to study a little 1988-89 the role of Afghan Mujahideen fighting Soviet forces.

The then Afghan mujahideen comprising local Afghans and non Afghan enthusiasts from around the world, mainly Arabs, were given US arms to fight Soviet forces, which eventually resulted in the collapse of Soviet Union, and emerging 15 independent states. This was the time when Osama Bin Laden joined Afghan war and lured thousands of Arabs into it.















Later, Cristina Roca, a US special envoy, was assigned the job to take back those weapons from Afghan Mujahideen, specially Stinger Missiles, but her mission failed to achieve targets.

 Following the collapse of Soviet Union, US and Western allies abandoned Afghanistan, after which remaining Afghan Mujahideen, again comprising local Afghans and non Afghan enthusiasts from around the world, mainly Arabs, grouped themselves together and Afghanistan was divided virtually between several war lords.

In 2001, the Afghanistan based Al-Qaeda and their hosts Taliban were blamed for the destruction of twin towers and havoc created elsewhere in the US.

This caused the US to move quickly, align with other western nations, and since 2001 up to date, they are in Afghanistan.














Today, Libyan rebels are demanding arms to fight Ghadaffi forces. The only difference is they have oil to sale with the help of Qatar, and from that money, they can buy arms without causing financial burden on western exchequer, officially or unofficially, and fight Ghadaffi forces.

And later of course, the eastern Libya had  already been declared as a safe haven for Al-Qaeda elements by US diplomats, cables of which released by wiki leaks just a few weeks back.

Now the picture is visible. restrict Ghadaffi regime to west of Libya,secure oil rich areas including that of coastal belt, and use Libyan rebels (today's Libyan Mujahideen) to fight Ghadaffi. And afterwards, skirmishes between allied forces and Libyan Mujahideen, which would eventually result in the long-time presence of international forces in the region.














May be I am wrong, but my perception is based on events which I myself overlooked very closely for several years. US-led war against Soviet Union is severely criticized today in many countries, and what I foresee, the current military strikes too would never be welcomed, which were initialized in the name of enforcing No Fly Zone and protecting Civilians in Libya.

If you disagree, or agree, just press the comment button below, and share with me what ever you have in your mind.

39 comments:

me said...

True!! i agree, it will become another Afghanistan

MohamedGhuloom said...

No, it's between people who want their rights and the greedy government

Proud2bBenghazi said...

Libyan, Born In Benghazi raised in U.S. We dared to DREAM IT, BELIEVE IT, & NOW to DIE FOR IT. FREEDOM. LIBYA IS 1, Tripoli is our Capitol & Allah Our STRENGTH.

Proud2bBenghazi said...

f you believe #libya will be like Afghanistan or Iraq your either ignorant to #libya n culture, or u are a #gaddafi muse

Bluefinlin said...

Probably ...

helgaworotitjan said...

Ya, I am afraid that would be happen there...

wisam340 said...

NO WAY. Libyan society is not Afghanistan. I know #Libya 1st hand. we should never compare. #Feb17

KayriaT said...

regardless of what u believe #Libyans will never let that happen inshallah.

ehkayy said...

no that's the silliest thing I ever heard..

Abdulla_Alamadi said...

no I don't think so. Libya is not and will not be another Afghanistan.

MiZzPiNkY702 said...

ALL $$$$$$$$ AND POLITICS THAT'S WHAT IT IS!

srahula said...

My understanding about the movement in Libya is too elementary to make a reasonable comment. So will abstain from it.

silent0 said...

nice post. And yes I agree that #Libya could very well become the next #Afghanistan (which is already the next Vietnam)

marcarvisais said...

Between dollar devaluation and being in danger of debt default, I think the US will resort to their forte; 'Start more wars'

Worldloverpeace said...

The difference is Libya is not Afghanistan.So they shouldn't be comparing them

WafaFt said...

like you said, #libya is different, read about it before you compare

Makhmoud said...

I could not disagree more

alwadaani7 said...

There is no war it,s just a test.

FatmaJawad said...

of course .. it will be worsen more and more.

Carpe177 said...

Disagree w report.West mentality changed since Iraq, Afghan.Why lots Ppl like me begged4Libya Hlp! NATO has2be ppl- pushed now!

Arno Edgar Kaplan said...

It could happen

rojiverde said...

and to create the Islamic Republic of Bengasi with the help of al Qaeda :)

Luuuuuuu said...

I hope not

C. J. McElhinney said...

bombing Libya is not popular in the US

Yahia Zakaria said...

الجيش يهدد باستخدام القوة بعد ان انكشف وجه القبيح و سوف يقودنا الي الهاوية

Stephen Mokiwa said...

Well written article

Javier Évora said...

Prehaps My Venezuela as well, one day

DRY Feenix said...

Pigs have also sprouted green feathers, and are at this very moment enforcing a NFZ over Tripoli!! :0D

Heba Benghazi said...

It wont happen! You talk like you are such an expert on #Libya but I think you still need to educate yourself on the matter

Abdullah Al Sherif said...

totally agree

Ahmed Addarrat said...

ground troops will be categorically rejected by the libyan people.

mervat said...

ومين اللى ساب العراق مش احنا العرب واحنا بردة اللى سايبين ليبيا تغرق فى دمائها كله مصالح العالم كله بقى دولتين امريكا واسرائيل

Kevin Farris said...

There are no troops on the ground - only NATO naval and air assets.

rima_misurata said...

Circumstances are very different - here we actually *want* NATO to start doing its job. But, inshallah

Adam said...

YOU HAVE NO IDEA. Libya is and will never be Like any Asian country. you must be kidding!

Nabil Ben Hariz said...

correct!! US has its own designs for Libya

Jeanie Abdullah said...

You are right! I was trying to be optimistic. Now it seems clear NATO stalling 2 give chance for ground occupation. #Libya

PuterPrsn said...

And because NATO doesn't enjoy the trust of the rebels. Both sides have good reasons. Rebels need to enjoin more citizens 2help

MIMSEAMILL said...

Libya is like Tunisia it will become a free democratic country.The young
people are educated and modern.